New Preprint: Time-smoothed counterfactual curves

October 1, 2025

I have some new work out on ArXiv today discussing a non-parametric method for estimating time-smoothed effect curves. This method makes it practical to estimate the sequential effect of interventions on time-varying outcomes. This is joint work with Nick Williams, Richard Liu, Jessica Young, and Iván Díaz: Computationally and statistically efficient estimation of time-smoothed counterfactual curves.