New Publication: Probabilistic Predictions of Emergency Department Arrivals

December 12, 2024

Our paper Probabilistic prediction of arrivals and hospitalizations in emergency departments in Île-de-France was published in the International Journal of Medical Informatics. We used a combination of ensemble learning and Adaptive Conformal Inference to predict emergency department arrivals and hospitalizations in and around Paris.

This paper builds on some previous theoretical work establishing that Super Learner can be applied for estimating quantiles in online settings (preprint available at https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.19343).

We also used our R package AdaptiveConformal for Adaptive Conformal Inference, described in our paper in COMPUTO.